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Study Develops 12-item Tool to Predict if Teens Will Smoke

Female teen looking away by fence with no smoking sign. Female teen looking away by fence with no smoking sign.

A study in the November 2018 issue of Pediatrics examines the accuracy of a 12-item tool that could be used by clinicians to identify teens who are likely to start smoking tobacco within the next year. 

The study, “A Tool to Identify Adolescents at Risk of Cigarette Smoking Initiation,” narrowed down variables to develop the tool after analyzing data from a study that followed 1,294 Montreal-area students - initially age 12 to 13 - from 1999 to 2005. 

Self-report questionnaire data were collected every three months during each 10-month school year. The variables that served as predictors for taking the first puff of cigarette smoke included smoking habits of family and friends; lifestyle factors; personality traits; and mental health. The study did not measure the use of electronic cigarettes

The authors propose that clinicians use this tool to identify teens who need counseling to prevent that first puff, which could portend a long-term course of smoking with lethal consequences. Click here for the tool.

Additional Information from

10/1/2018 12:00 AM
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